A large number of foreign-invested paper companies have stopped production for 4 months. Official: The paper price has a high probability of losing the opportunity to rise.

On October 25th, the office of the Leading Group of Energy-saving Work in Fuyang District, Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province issued the No. 2 red-headed document, which announced that the 89 paper mills in Fuyang had been producing peaks for 4 months. The official endorsement released the signal to the outside world - the paper price lost a large probability. opportunity. It is worth noting that, except for Hualong, Hengsheng and the upstream, the list of production suspensions coincides with the 22nd batch of foreign-invested import enterprises. Perhaps it is the approval of the waste paper approval quota to let this inventory dispute, With the successful sale of small and medium-sized paper mills, the giant cardboard fell. The carton factory also finally ate a wave of raw material price dividends.

89 paper mills in Fuyang have been suspended for 4 months, and the official endorsement release signal - the chance of paper price loss increases

On October 25th, the office of the Leading Group of Energy-saving Work in Fuyang District, Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province issued the No. 2 red-headed document. It is announced that many industries such as papermaking and chemical industry will enter the peak production in autumn and winter. The peak production time is from November 1, 2018 to February 28, 2019, for four months.

The suspension of production involves 89 paper mills in Fuyang District (see the list for other information). From November 1st, each paper mill will stop production according to regulations, and the cumulative production stoppage will be 30-99 days before the end of February 2019. Each paper mill will stop production every month for 3-15 days, and stop production by at least 10 days before the end of December.

Fuyang, known as "the hometown of papermaking", is constantly facing environmental protection, and this time it is announced that the "double eleven" will be released from the official endorsement to the outside world - the paper price has a high probability Lose the opportunity to rise.

In addition to Hualong, Hengsheng, and upstream, Fuyang’s 22nd batch of foreign-invested imported enterprises were all required to be shut down.

On October 18, according to the announcement of the 22nd batch of restricted import licenses issued by the Solid Waste Management Center in 2018, the total amount of approved foreign import imports was 209,821 tons, and 47 enterprises were approved, marking the highest number of approved factories in 2018. .

It is worth mentioning that the Zhejiang area. In particular, many paper mills in Fuyang seem to have got rid of the “clouds” of environmental protection, and the number of factories approved in this license is the largest. For Fuyang papermaking enterprises that have been in the environmental protection storm, the release of this batch of waste paper approval quota is undoubtedly a long drought.

However, by comparing the 22nd batch of foreign waste import approval and the list of companies that have adjusted the production of peak production in Fuyang District (refer to other information on this website), we can find a magic phenomenon - except Hualong, Hengsheng and upstream. Outside the paper mill, almost all of the approved batches of foreign waste imports in Fuyang District of Hangzhou were required to stop production in accordance with the regulations.

The so-called carrots and sticks are probably the current experience of many paper mills in Fuyang.

China's waste plunged 1,000 to open the battle for inventory, small and medium-sized paper mills successfully sold, giant cardboard fell

I remember that the paper giants wanted to smash the price increase drama during the National Day in October.

The drama kicked off with the national waste plummeting 1000, and the spurt of the 400 yuan of the dragon paper industry, and then the powder of the giants such as Lee & Man, the mountain eagle, and all the operations seem to be warning the downstream industry. The price increase is the main theme.

Everything that happens later must be known to everyone.

The country’s waste prices plummeted, and a large influx of foreign wastes. A large number of small and medium-sized paper mills trapped in raw material prices suddenly had sufficient ""ammunition" and "low-cost dumping." In this busy season, small and medium-sized paper mills have basically escaped from the inventory trap.

If foreign waste import approval and peak production are the government's means of regulation and control of the paper industry, under the pressure of environmental protection, all enterprises began to improve technology and integrate production capacity. For the majority of small and medium-sized paper mills, the export of this carrot is also the biggest reason for their competition with the paper giants.

In 2018, the phenomenon that the packaging paper industry is not prosperous in the peak season is undoubtedly a major setback for paper companies.

Under the support of the expected peak season of consumption, a high operating rate has been maintained. However, the rapid decline in demand led to a high level of finished paper stocks in paper enterprises, but the peak season did not rise, and paper companies had to cut prices to inventory.

Undoubtedly, the paper giant's price cuts in October did not work. Instead, more small and medium-sized paper mills sold at a low price, which led to inventory pressures. Only by continuing to increase the price cuts to attract buying, Reach the purpose of destocking.

It is also because the official green light given to small and medium-sized paper mills on the foreign waste import, so that they have a low-cost sell-off, the first to escape the high stock muddy.

A wonderful de-stocking campaign, the paper-making giants and the small and medium-sized paper mills are coming and going, and the battle is dazzling. In the blink of an eye, the end of October, the ""season season" of 2018" is about to end - although this "peak season" is not a bit prosperous. But it is clear that after a wonderful operation by the paper mills, it is also necessary to win the game.

On October 29, many customers of the paperboard factory received the price reduction notices of Xiaolong and Lee & Man. The notice said that Tianjin Tuanlong cattle cardboard and corrugated paper will be lowered by 300 yuan/ton from now on, and recycled paper, whiteboard paper, coated cattle cardboard and white-faced cattle cardboard will be lowered by 200 yuan/ton, which is subject to the actual vehicle delivery time. Who wins and loses is already clear.

The price of raw paper will not change more drastically before the end of February 2019, and the carton factory will finally eat a wave of raw material price dividends.

Undoubtedly, the domestic waste paper merchants from the acquisition station to the packing station, the entire industrial chain has become the victims of the paper mill giants to the inventory campaign, although they can vote with the feet, but the downturn in the entire industry allows the waste paper industry practitioners There is not much room for choice.

For paper mills, downtime is the result of coordination between the company and the official sector based on market judgment. It is basically judged that there will be no more drastic changes in the price of the base paper before the end of peak production (end of February 2019).

However, whether it is to continue to increase prices after the suspension of production or continue to maintain the stability of the current price, can not avoid the most critical downstream market.

Both the secondary paperboard plant and the third-tier packaging plant will benefit from the upstream raw material price dividend. In this year's tug-of-war price atmosphere, the large and weak group of the third-tier factory has not been negatively affected by the price of paper. Instead, it has made good use of this opportunity, and the granary is full of ammunition. .

However, the eleventh and the twelfth of each year are the peak period for the end-users of the third-tier factories. The fluctuation of raw material prices will naturally be seen by their customers, affecting the quotation strategy of the third-tier factories to users. Whether the third-tier factory can eat a wave of price-cutting benefits and become the biggest winner, it will take time to test.

Editor in charge: Zheng

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